Voting Intention: 15th March 2024
New polling conducted by Labour Together finds that Labour maintains a large lead over the Conservatives.
The first public voting intention polling conducted internally by Labour Together finds that Labour is 18 points ahead of the Conservatives. The polling, conducted using Labour Together’s new internal polling operation, suggests that if there were a general election tomorrow, the Conservatives would take 24% of votes, Labour 42% and the Liberal Democrats 10%. Other parties, including Reform UK, would get 12% of the vote.
This large Labour lead is in line with polls conducted by other, more established pollsters. However, as previous work from Labour Together has demonstrated, such large leads are unlikely to reflect the result on polling day, when we predict many of those who voted Conservative in 2019 will return to the party, including many of those who currently say they would back Reform, or don’t know who they would vote for.
Without removing those who say they don’t know who they would vote for, or would not vote from the calculation, we find that less than one in five would vote Conservative (18%), a third (32%) would vote Labour and 8% would vote Lib Dem. Many remain undecided (17%), with Conservative 2019 voters most likely to be undecided (21%).
Methodology and data tables
All figures are from polling conducted by Labour Together. The survey was fielded online to 1,036 adults online between the 14th and 15th of March 2024. Figures are weighted to be nationally and politically representative of all adults in Great Britain. Full data tables for this polling can be found here.
For more information about Labour Together’s polling methodology, please click here.